メモ:\(R_0=5.7\)

🚨New higher R0 from CDC reanalysis... it’s a 5.7!🚨(95% Confidence Interval: 3.8–8.9). Wowzers. This much higher #SARSCoV2 R0 value carries lot of implications for vaccines and treatments and containment measures needed. 📌Thread 🧵 #COVID19 https://t.co/DRlqyqC8lP pic.twitter.com/rVWZPojMxO

— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) April 8, 2020

西浦氏の85万人重症者で42万人死亡は\(R_0=2.5\)での計算らしいから、だいぶ値が違うものになるだろうな。